Bilal Coulibaly

Washington Wizards · G · #0

ATL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Points, typical price −1043 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs guards
ATL allow 42.9 points a game to guards: the fewest of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Over 8.5 without him: 18 of 28; with him: 23 of 35 (63 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Over 8.5 without him: 19 of 34; with him: 22 of 29 (63 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 27.2 min · 2025–26: 26.2 (56 games)

60%6 of 10L10

Over 8.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

at MIA, 2026-04-04: 12, cleared, 25 min
vs CHI, 2026-04-07: 19, cleared, 24 min
vs MIA, 2026-04-10: 25, cleared, 22 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-21: 11, cleared, 29 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-23: 11, cleared, 26 min
at CHI, 2026-10-24: 7, missed, 25 min
at CHA, 2026-10-26: 3, missed, 29 min
at CLE, 2026-10-28: 17, cleared, 27 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 22 min
at ORL, 2026-11-02: 7, missed, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 4.9–21.7 points.

Splits

Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL in his last 10; Over 8.5 cleared in 7 of 10 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L10

Anthony DavisF
AJ DybantsaF
Trae YoungG
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

Points: 10 in 22 min, Feb 26 (away)

Over 8.5 hit in 7 of 10 games against ATL on record

L10 · Over 8.5

Average: 11.3; +2.8 vs line
Median: 11; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −104
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −147

Research, not a pick. At −103 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −147, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5001 book	—	8/10
−3011 book	—	8/10
−1451 book	—	6/10
−1043 books	−1283 books	6/10
+1282 books	—	6/10
+2261 book	—	4/10
+5002 books	—	3/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
Pinnacle5 min ago	−103Best	−129
FanDuel4 min ago	−104	−128
DraftKings5 min ago	−105	−121Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

Over −103 → −104 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Bilal Coulibaly's full game log and splits