Bilal Coulibaly

Washington Wizards · G · #0

ATL @ WSH · Tomorrow 7:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Rebounds, typical price −1672 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Over 3.5 without him: 15 of 28; with him: 25 of 35 (63 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Over 3.5 without him: 23 of 34; with him: 17 of 29 (63 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
ATL allow 14.1 rebounds a game to guards: 22nd most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 27.2 min · 2025–26: 26.2 (56 games)

50%5 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at MIA, 2026-04-04: 3, missed, 25 min
vs CHI, 2026-04-07: 3, missed, 24 min
vs MIA, 2026-04-10: 5, cleared, 22 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 29 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-23: 6, cleared, 26 min
at CHI, 2026-10-24: 4, cleared, 25 min
at CHA, 2026-10-26: 5, cleared, 29 min
at CLE, 2026-10-28: 2, missed, 27 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 5, cleared, 22 min
at ORL, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1–7.6 rebounds.

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 7 of 10 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

Anthony DavisF
AJ DybantsaF
Trae YoungG
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

Rebounds: 5 in 22 min, Feb 26 (away)

Over 3.5 hit in 7 of 10 games against ATL on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 3.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 3.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 63%; at −167
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −149

Research, not a pick. At −160 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −149, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3551 book	—	7/10
−1672 books	+1252 books	5/10
+1221 book	pick'em only	4/10
+2392 books	—	1/10
+4041 book	—	0/10
+7762 books	—	0/10
+11201 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings10 min ago	−160Best	+121
FanDuel4 min ago	−174	+130Best

Prices as of 9:59 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

−172 → −167 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Bilal Coulibaly's full game log and splits