Andrew Nembhard

Indiana Pacers · G · #2

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1662 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

2 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Tyrese Haliburton playing; Haliburton is out today. Without him: Under 2.5 in 43 of 60.

TodayTeammate out
Tyrese Haliburton: Out (hamstring)
Under 2.5 without him: 43 of 60; with him: 17 of 21 (81 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Obi Toppin: Out (back)
Under 2.5 without him: 32 of 48; with him: 28 of 33 (81 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ivica Zubac: Out (ankle)
Under 2.5 without him: 6 of 8; with him: 4 of 5 (13 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MEM allow 6.4 threes made a game to guards: 24th most of 30
7 games

71%12 of 17L20 · Without Haliburton

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 12 of 17 games without Tyrese Haliburton (his last 20 games).

at WSH, 2026-02-19: 1, hit, 22 min
vs DAL, 2026-02-22: 3, missed, 30 min
vs PHI, 2026-02-24: 3, missed, 28 min
vs CHA, 2026-02-26: 3, missed, 29 min
at LAC, 2026-03-04: 0, hit, 24 min
at LAL, 2026-03-06: 1, hit, 31 min
at POR, 2026-03-08: 2, hit, 28 min
vs PHX, 2026-03-12: 2, hit, 17 min
vs NY, 2026-03-13: 0, hit, 32 min
at SA, 2026-03-21: 2, hit, 28 min
at ORL, 2026-03-23: 1, hit, 35 min
vs LAL, 2026-03-25: 2, hit, 34 min
vs LAC, 2026-03-27: 2, hit, 32 min
vs MIA, 2026-03-29: 2, hit, 36 min
at NO, 2026-10-21: 0, hit, 34 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-10-23: 1, hit, 32 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-25: 4, missed, 30 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-28: 1, hit, 35 min
at MIA, 2026-10-30: 5, missed, 30 min
vs BKN, 2026-11-01: 4, missed, 35 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 3-pointers made.

Splits

Under 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM in his last 20; Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 2 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L20

Pascal SiakamF
Tyrese HaliburtonGOut
Aaron NesmithG
Obi ToppinFOut
Ivica ZubacCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pacers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

Nembhard didn't play the Mar 1 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Nembhard faced them: 1 (Feb 20, 2025)

Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against MEM on record

L20 · Without Haliburton · Under 2.5

Average: 2; −0.5 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 71%; 12 of 17
Price implies: 62%; at −166
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −162

Research, not a pick. At −157 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −162, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Haliburton

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−16002 books	—	2/17
−2502 books	—	6/17
+1192 books	−1662 books	12/17
+2932 books	—	15/17
+6502 books	—	16/17
+14002 books	—	17/17
+24002 books	—	17/17

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
DraftKings2 min ago	+119	−157Best
FanDuel2 min ago	+124Best	−166
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:04 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Andrew Nembhard's full game log and splits