Alex SarrDay-To-Day
ATL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM
What's different today
Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Over 16.5 without him: 20 of 26; with him: 22 of 28 (54 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Over 16.5 without him: 21 of 30; with him: 18 of 21 (51 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 25.8 min · 2025–26: 27.2 (48 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at ORL
Sarr sat the last game (Nov 2)
Game log against Over 16.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 16.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).
Splits
Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ATL in his last 10; Over 16.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 16.5 · L10Anthony DavisF
AJ DybantsaF
Trae YoungG
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ATL
Sarr didn't play the Feb 26 meeting; pts+reb the last time Sarr faced them: 38 (Nov 25, 2025)
Over 16.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against ATL on record
L10 · Over 16.5
- Average
- 13.9
- −2.6 vs line
- Median
- 13.5
- −3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 24.1
- 10 games · 27.2 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 52%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −10001 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −1904 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1601 book | +1201 book | 4/10 | |
| −1256 books | −1054 books | 4/10 | |
| +1001 book | −1301 book | 3/10 | |
| +1704 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +4581 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 16.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 16.5 | Under 16.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −118Best | — |
| betPARX7 min ago | −118Best | −115 |
| BetRivers7 min ago | −118Best | — |
| Bovada7 min ago | −125 | −105 |
| DraftKings7 min ago | −128 | −103Best |
| FanDuel8 min ago | −128 | −104 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:53 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
16.5Over No move since first seen