Alex Caruso
OKC @ MEM · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 1.5
58%7 of 12L20 · Without Williams
Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks cleared in 7 of 12 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).
What's different today
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 1.5 without him: 25 of 43; with him: 24 of 51 (94 games as teammates)
TodayBack from an absence
Today's game is his 2nd back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 28 – Nov 2)
Over 1.5 since: 0 of 1
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: 45 of 87 (94 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 1.5 without him: 1 of 3; with him: 48 of 91 (94 games as teammates)
Splits
Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against MEM in his last 20; Over 1.5 cleared in 6 of 10 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L20Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Ajay MitchellG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MEM
Steals+Blocks: 3 in 24 min, Jan 9 (away)
Over 1.5 hit in 6 of 10 games against MEM on record
L20 · Without Williams · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 58%
- 7 of 12
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −121
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 22.1
- 12 games · 19.3 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 51%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Williams| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5603 books | — | 9/12 | |
| −1213 books | −1121 book | 7/12 | |
| +2303 books | — | 3/12 | |
| +5253 books | — | 0/12 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −121Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −121Best | −112Best |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −121Best | — |
Prices as of 3:00 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over: −122 → −121 since first seen


