Alex Caruso

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #9

OKC @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under6.5

Over 6.5 Reb+Ast, typical price +1146 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

33%4 of 12L20 · Without Williams

Over 6.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 4 of 12 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

vs PHX, 2026-04-19: 6, missed, 13 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-22: 3, missed, 23 min (not counted)
at PHX, 2026-04-25: 6, missed, 22 min
at PHX, 2026-04-27: 5, missed, 25 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 4, missed, 20 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 8, cleared, 22 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 4, missed, 20 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 5, missed, 22 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 3, missed, 32 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 8, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 4, missed, 24 min
at SA, 2026-05-24: 3, missed, 14 min
vs SA, 2026-05-26: 8, cleared, 28 min
at SA, 2026-05-28: 0, missed, 21 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-30: 9, cleared, 39 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 8, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 9, cleared, 20 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 13, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 5, missed, 9 min
vs CLE, 2026-11-04: 7, cleared, 20 min

ClearedMissedThe 6.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 6.5 without him: 9 of 43; with him: 11 of 51 (94 games as teammates)
TodayBack from an absence
Today's game is his 2nd back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 28 – Nov 2)
Over 6.5 since: 1 of 1
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 6.5 without him: 2 of 7; with him: 18 of 87 (94 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 6.5 without him: 1 of 3; with him: 19 of 91 (94 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 6.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MEM in his last 20; Over 6.5 cleared in 5 of 10 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 6.5 · L20

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Ajay MitchellG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MEM

Reb+Ast: 5 in 24 min, Jan 9 (away)

Over 6.5 hit in 5 of 10 games against MEM on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 6.5

Average: 5.7; −0.8 vs line
Median: 5; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 33%; 4 of 12
Price implies: 47%; at +114
Books’ fair: 44%; margin removed
Minutes: 22.1; 12 games · 19.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 6.5 44%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2785 books	—	8/12
−1601 book	+1201 book	5/12
pick'em only	pick'em only	4/12
+1146 books	−1464 books	4/12
+1802 books	−2501 book	3/12
+4505 books	—	0/12
+11001 book	—	0/12

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 6.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 6.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 6.5	Under 6.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	+114Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	+114Best	−155
BetRivers2 min ago	+114Best	—
FanDuel3 min ago	+114Best	−146
Bovada3 min ago	+110	−145Best
DraftKings3 min ago	+110	−145Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:30 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

6.5

Over: −112 → +114 since first seen

Alex Caruso's full game log and splits