Alex Caruso
OKC @ MEM · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 3.5
50%6 of 12L20 · Without Williams
Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of 12 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).
What's different today
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 3.5 without him: 14 of 43; with him: 19 of 51 (94 games as teammates)
TodayBack from an absence
Today's game is his 2nd back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 28 – Nov 2)
Over 3.5 since: 1 of 1
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 3.5 without him: 2 of 7; with him: 31 of 87 (94 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 3.5 without him: 1 of 3; with him: 32 of 91 (94 games as teammates)
Splits
Over 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against MEM in his last 20; Over 3.5 cleared in 4 of 10 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 3.5 · L20Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Ajay MitchellG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MEM
Rebounds: 3 in 24 min, Jan 9 (away)
Over 3.5 hit in 4 of 10 games against MEM on record
L20 · Without Williams · Over 3.5
- Average
- 3.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 3.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 6 of 12
- Price implies
- 46%
- at +117
- Books’ fair
- 44%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 22.1
- 12 games · 19.3 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 44%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Williams| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5303 books | — | 12/12 | |
| −1825 books | +1701 book | 7/12 | |
| +1177 books | −1566 books | 6/12 | |
| +2405 books | −2801 book | 2/12 | |
| +4505 books | — | 0/12 | |
| +7505 books | — | 0/12 | |
| +13802 books | — | 0/12 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet4 min ago | +123Best | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | +123Best | −165 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | +123Best | −167 |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | +117 | −156 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | +106 | −140 |
| DraftKings5 min ago | +101 | −133 |
| Bovada4 min ago | +100 | −130Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:05 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5Over: −112 → +117 since first seen


