Alex Caruso
CLE @ OKC · Today 8:00 PMWhat's different today
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 3.5 without him: 13 of 42; with him: 19 of 52 (94 games as teammates)
TodayBack from an absence
Today's game is his 1st back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 28 – Nov 2)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 3.5 without him: 1 of 6; with him: 31 of 88 (94 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 3.5 without him: 0 of 2; with him: 32 of 92 (94 games as teammates). A small sample.
Game log against Over 3.5
45%5 of 11L20 · Without Williams
Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 5 of 11 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).
Splits
Over 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against CLE in his last 20; Over 3.5 cleared in 1 of 5 against CLE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 3.5 · L20Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Ajay MitchellG
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CLE
Caruso didn't play the Nov 2 meeting; rebounds the last time Caruso faced them: 1 (Jan 19)
Over 3.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against CLE on record
L20 · Without Williams · Over 3.5
- Average
- 3.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 3
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 45%
- 5 of 11
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −136
- Books’ fair
- 54%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 22.3
- 11 games · 19.3 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 54%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Williams| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1361 book | +1021 book | 5/11 | |
| +3201 book | — | 0/11 | |
| +10601 book | — | 0/11 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | −136Best | +102Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.55.5 → 3.5 since first seen


