Alex Caruso

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #9

CLE @ OKC · Live

Over Under14.5

Over 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1173 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

45%5 of 11L20 · Without Williams

Over 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 5 of 11 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at LAC, 2026-04-08: 6, missed, 13 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-19: 8, missed, 13 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-22: 10, missed, 23 min (not counted)
at PHX, 2026-04-25: 19, cleared, 22 min
at PHX, 2026-04-27: 19, cleared, 25 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 9, missed, 20 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 13, missed, 22 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 10, missed, 20 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 14, missed, 22 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 34, cleared, 32 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 25, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 19, cleared, 24 min
at SA, 2026-05-24: 3, missed, 14 min
vs SA, 2026-05-26: 30, cleared, 28 min
at SA, 2026-05-28: 7, missed, 21 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-30: 21, cleared, 39 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 17, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 16, cleared, 20 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 25, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 14, missed, 9 min

ClearedMissedThe 14.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 14.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

4 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Jalen Williams playing; Williams is out yesterday. Without him: Over 14.5 in 8 of 42.

YesterdayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 14.5 without him: 8 of 42; with him: 18 of 52 (94 games as teammates)
YesterdayBack from an absence
Yesterday's game is his 1st back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 28 – Nov 2)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 14.5 without him: 0 of 6; with him: 26 of 88 (94 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 14.5 without him: 0 of 2; with him: 26 of 92 (94 games as teammates). A small sample.

Splits

Over 14.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against CLE in his last 20; Over 14.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against CLE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 14.5 · L20

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Ajay MitchellG
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Caruso didn't play the Nov 2 meeting; pts+reb+ast the last time Caruso faced them: 4 (Jan 19)

Over 14.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 14.5

Average: 15.5; +1 vs line
Median: 14; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 45%; 5 of 11
Price implies: 54%; at −117
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 22.3; 11 games · 19.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 14.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−4152 books	—	9/11
−1173 books	−1271 book	5/11
+1051 book	—	5/11
+2553 books	—	2/11
+7502 books	—	1/11
+17002 books	—	1/11

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 14.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 14.5	Under 14.5
DraftKings20 hr ago	−103Best	−127Best
Bally Bet20 hr ago	−117	—
Bovada20 hr ago	−136	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

14.5

15.5 → 14.5 since first seen

Alex Caruso's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.