Alex Caruso

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #9

CLE @ OKC · Live

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −3902 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

64%7 of 11L20 · Without Williams

Over 4.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of 11 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at LAC, 2026-04-08: 4, missed, 13 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-19: 6, cleared, 13 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-22: 3, missed, 23 min (not counted)
at PHX, 2026-04-25: 6, cleared, 22 min
at PHX, 2026-04-27: 5, cleared, 25 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 4, missed, 20 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 8, cleared, 22 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 4, missed, 20 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 5, cleared, 22 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 3, missed, 32 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 8, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 4, missed, 24 min
at SA, 2026-05-24: 3, missed, 14 min
vs SA, 2026-05-26: 8, cleared, 28 min
at SA, 2026-05-28: 0, missed, 21 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-30: 9, cleared, 39 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 8, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 9, cleared, 20 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 13, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 5, cleared, 9 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

3 of his last 5 came with Jalen Williams playing; Williams is out yesterday. Without him: Over 4.5 in 23 of 42.

YesterdayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 4.5 without him: 23 of 42; with him: 24 of 52 (94 games as teammates)
YesterdayBack from an absence
Yesterday's game is his 1st back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 28 – Nov 2)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 4.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: 43 of 88 (94 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 4.5 without him: 2 of 2; with him: 45 of 92 (94 games as teammates). A small sample.

Splits

Over 4.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against CLE in his last 20; Over 4.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against CLE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L20

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Ajay MitchellG
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Caruso didn't play the Nov 2 meeting; reb+ast the last time Caruso faced them: 3 (Jan 19)

Over 4.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 4.5

Average: 5.5; +1 vs line
Median: 5; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 64%; 7 of 11
Price implies: 80%; at −390
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Minutes: 22.3; 11 games · 19.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−3902 books	—	7/11
−1241 book	−1061 book	4/11
+1151 book	—	3/11
+3802 books	—	0/11

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
Bally Bet9 hr ago	−230Best	—
Bovada9 hr ago	−390	—

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

6.5 → 4.5 since first seen

Alex Caruso's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.