Alex Caruso
OKC @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Over 2.5
42%5 of 12L20 · Without Williams
Over 2.5 Assists cleared in 5 of 12 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).
What's different today
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick2 of his last 4 came with Jalen Williams playing; Williams is out today. Without him: Over 2.5 in 19 of 43.
TodayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 2.5 without him: 19 of 43; with him: 12 of 51 (94 games as teammates)
TodayBack from an absence
Today's game is his 2nd back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 28 – Nov 2)
Over 2.5 since: 1 of 1
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 2.5 without him: 3 of 7; with him: 28 of 87 (94 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 2.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: 29 of 91 (94 games as teammates)
Splits
Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against MEM in his last 20; Over 2.5 cleared in 5 of 10 against MEM on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 2.5 · L20Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Ajay MitchellG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MEM
Assists: 2 in 24 min, Jan 9 (away)
Over 2.5 hit in 5 of 10 games against MEM on record
L20 · Without Williams · Over 2.5
- Average
- 2.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 42%
- 5 of 12
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −139
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 22.1
- 12 games · 19.3 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 53%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Williams| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −200001 book | — | 12/12 | |
| −4004 books | — | 7/12 | |
| −1396 books | −1025 books | 5/12 | |
| +1606 books | −2801 book | 3/12 | |
| +3355 books | — | 1/12 | |
| +6005 books | — | 1/12 | |
| +15802 books | — | 0/12 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada5 min ago | −120Best | −110 |
| DraftKings5 min ago | −124 | −106 |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −130 | −102 |
| betPARX1 min ago | −139 | +104Best |
| BetRivers2 min ago | −141 | +104Best |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −157 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Over: −152 → −139 since first seen