AJ Dybantsa

Washington Wizards · F · #4

ATL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −2502 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: no games (3 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: no games (3 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
ATL allow 3.9 steals a game to forwards: 6th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 3: 30 min · 2026–27: 30 (3 games)

67%2 of 3L3

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 2 of his last 3 games (1 of 1 at home).

at CLE, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 27 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 30 min
at ORL, 2026-11-02: 3, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L3 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L3

Anthony DavisF
Trae YoungG
Kyshawn GeorgeF
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

Dybantsa didn't play the Feb 26 meeting

L3 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 67%; 2 of 3
Price implies: 71%; at −250
Books’ fair: 64%; margin removed
Our chance: 65%; estimate · fair −187

Research, not a pick. At −217 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −187, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L3

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L3
−2502 books	+1621 book	2/3
+1942 books	−2701 book	1/3
+6402 books	—	1/3
+15002 books	—	0/3

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings6 min ago	−217Best	+162Best
FanDuel1 min ago	−250	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:08 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−220 → −250 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

AJ Dybantsa's full game log and splits