AJ Dybantsa

Washington Wizards · F · #4

ATL @ WSH · Tomorrow 7:00 PM

Over Under7.5

Under 7.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1021 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Under 7.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: no games (3 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Under 7.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: no games (3 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 3: 30 min · 2026–27: 30 (3 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at ORL

67%2 of 3L3

Under 7.5 Reb+Ast hit in 2 of his last 3 games (0 of 1 at home).

at CLE, 2026-10-28: 4, hit, 27 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 9, missed, 30 min
at ORL, 2026-11-02: 7, hit, 33 min

Under hitMissedThe 7.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 3.1–10.6 reb+ast.

Splits

Under 7.5 · L3 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 7.5 · L3

Anthony DavisF
Trae YoungG
Kyshawn GeorgeF
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

Dybantsa didn't play the Feb 26 meeting

L3 · Under 7.5

Average: 6.7; −0.8 vs line
Median: 7; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 67%; 2 of 3
Price implies: 50%; at −102
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Our chance: 55%; estimate · fair −120

Research, not a pick. At −102 the price beats our fair −120, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L3

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L3
	−1301 book	−1021 book	2/3

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 7.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 7.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 7.5	Under 7.5
FanDuel1 min ago	−130Best	−102Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

7.5

Under −122 → −102 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

AJ Dybantsa's full game log and splits