AJ Dybantsa

Washington Wizards · F · #4

ATL @ WSH · Live

Over Under26.5

Under 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1193 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

67%2 of 3L3

Under 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 2 of his last 3 games (1 of 1 at home).

at CLE, 2026-10-28: 23, hit, 27 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 26, hit, 30 min
at ORL, 2026-11-02: 28, missed, 33 min

Under hitMissedThe 26.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 12–30.7 pts+reb+ast.

What's different yesterday

Under 26.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Under 26.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: no games (3 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Under 26.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: no games (3 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
ATL allow 77.5 points + rebounds + assists a game to forwards: 5th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 3: 30 min · 2026–27: 30 (3 games)

Splits

Under 26.5 · L3 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 26.5 · L3

Anthony DavisF
Trae YoungG
Kyshawn GeorgeF
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

Dybantsa didn't play the Feb 26 meeting

L3 · Under 26.5

Average: 25.7; −0.8 vs line
Median: 26; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 67%; 2 of 3
Price implies: 54%; at −119
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −152

Research, not a pick. At −112 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −152, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L3

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L3
−21001 book	—	0/3
−5302 books	—	0/3
−1752 books	—	1/3
−1183 books	−1192 books	2/3
+1482 books	—	3/3
+3402 books	—	3/3
+9601 book	—	3/3

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 26.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 26.5	Under 26.5
Pinnacle13 hr ago	−118	−112Best
DraftKings13 hr ago	−111Best	−119
Bally Bet13 hr ago	−118	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

26.5

24.5 → 26.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

AJ Dybantsa's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:13 PM ET.