AJ Dybantsa

Washington Wizards · F · #4

ATL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under23.5

Under 23.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1215 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 23.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Tristan Vukcevic: Out (hip)
Under 23.5 without him: 1 of 3; with him: no games (3 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jamir Watkins: Out (knee)
Under 23.5 without him: 1 of 3; with him: no games (3 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 3: 30 min · 2026–27: 30 (3 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at ORL

33%1 of 3L3

Under 23.5 Pts+Reb hit in 1 of his last 3 games (0 of 1 at home).

at CLE, 2026-10-28: 21, hit, 27 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-30: 25, missed, 30 min
at ORL, 2026-11-02: 26, missed, 33 min

Under hitMissedThe 23.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 10.9–27.3 pts+reb.

Splits

Under 23.5 · L3 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 23.5 · L3

Anthony DavisF
Trae YoungG
Kyshawn GeorgeF
Tristan VukcevicFOut
Jamir WatkinsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Wizards count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ATL

Dybantsa didn't play the Feb 26 meeting

L3 · Under 23.5

Average: 24; +0.5 vs line
Median: 25; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 33%; 1 of 3
Price implies: 55%; at −121
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 55%; estimate · fair −121

Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −121, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L3

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L3
−2254 books	—	0/3
−1651 book	+1251 book	1/3
−1352 books	−1062 books	1/3
−1035 books	−1213 books	1/3
+1204 books	—	1/3
+2904 books	—	3/3
+6701 book	—	3/3

Compare 5 sportsbooks at 23.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 23.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 23.5	Under 23.5
Bovada9 min ago	−110	−120Best
DraftKings9 min ago	−109	−121
betPARX5 min ago	−103Best	−134
Bally Bet9 min ago	−103Best	—
BetRivers5 min ago	−103Best	—

Prices as of 2:58 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

23.5

22.5 → 23.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

AJ Dybantsa's full game log and splits