Ace Bailey

Utah Jazz · G · #19

UTAH @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1454 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 16 of 27; with him: 3 of 7 (34 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (foot)
Over 1.5 without him: 24 of 41; with him: 18 of 38 (79 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
NO allow 6.3 threes made a game to guards: 27th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2025–26: 27.6 (72 games)

50%8 of 16L20 · Without Jackson

Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 8 of 16 games without Jaren Jackson Jr. (his last 20 games).

at MIN, 2026-03-18: 5, cleared, 25 min
vs MIL, 2026-03-19: 7, cleared, 34 min
vs PHI, 2026-03-21: 4, cleared, 33 min
vs TOR, 2026-03-23: 7, cleared, 35 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-25: 1, missed, 29 min
at DEN, 2026-03-27: 1, missed, 27 min
at PHX, 2026-03-28: 1, missed, 34 min
vs CLE, 2026-03-30: 3, cleared, 35 min
vs DEN, 2026-04-01: 1, missed, 33 min
at HOU, 2026-04-03: 2, cleared, 33 min
at OKC, 2026-04-05: 2, cleared, 33 min
vs MEM, 2026-04-10: 3, cleared, 29 min
at LAL, 2026-04-12: 1, missed, 29 min
at MEM, 2026-10-21: 2, cleared, 24 min (not counted)
vs NO, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 22 min (not counted)
vs LAL, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 29 min (not counted)
vs MEM, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 40 min
vs POR, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 37 min
at SA, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 24 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Keyonte GeorgeG
Lauri MarkkanenF
Jaren Jackson Jr.FOut
Jusuf NurkicCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Jazz count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NO

3-Pointers Made: 1 in 22 min, Oct 23 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against NO on record

L20 · Without Jackson · Over 1.5

Average: 2.6; +1.1 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 8 of 16
Price implies: 59%; at −145
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Minutes: 31.9; 16 games · 27.6 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 55%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Jackson

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−7203 books	—	16/16
−1454 books	+1094 books	8/16
+2103 books	−2901 book	6/16
+5083 books	—	4/16
+12003 books	—	3/16
+25003 books	—	2/16
+40001 book	—	2/16

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel3 min ago	−140Best	+106
DraftKings9 min ago	−143	+109
Bovada8 min ago	−145	+110Best
Pinnacle9 min ago	−146	+110Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:25 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −144 → −145 since first seen

Ace Bailey's full game log and splits