Aaron Gordon

Denver Nuggets · F · #32

TOR @ DEN · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under5.5

Over 5.5 Rebounds, typical price −1054 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 5.5 without him: 9 of 16; with him: 16 of 29 (45 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
TOR allow 15.4 rebounds a game to forwards: 26th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30.4 min · 2025–26: 28 (39 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR

50%5 of 10L10

Over 5.5 Rebounds cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

vs MEM, 2026-04-08: 2, missed, 22 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-18: 8, cleared, 29 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 7, cleared, 37 min
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 1, missed, 23 min
at OKC, 2026-10-22: 6, cleared, 29 min
vs NO, 2026-10-24: 5, missed, 37 min
vs GS, 2026-10-26: 4, missed, 25 min
at NO, 2026-10-28: 11, cleared, 31 min
at PHX, 2026-10-30: 4, missed, 29 min
vs POR, 2026-11-02: 6, cleared, 30 min

ClearedMissedThe 5.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 5.5 cleared in 1 of 5 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 5.5 · L10

Nikola JokicC
Jamal MurrayG
DeMar DeRozanG
Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Rebounds: 5 in 29 min, Mar 20 (home)

Over 5.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 5.5

Average: 5.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 5.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −105
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Minutes: 29.2; 10 games · 28 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 5.5 47%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−20002 books	—	8/10
−4402 books	—	8/10
−2002 books	+1501 book	6/10
−1054 books	−1364 books	5/10
+1702 books	−2301 book	3/10
+3082 books	—	2/10
+5191 book	—	1/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
FanDuel4 min ago	+104Best	−138
Pinnacle3 min ago	+102	−136
Bovada3 min ago	−105	−125
DraftKings3 min ago	−107	−123Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

+102 → −105 since first seen

Aaron Gordon's full game log and splits