Aaron Gordon

Denver Nuggets · F · #32

TOR @ DEN · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Reb+Ast, typical price +1052 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 8.5 without him: 7 of 16; with him: 14 of 29 (45 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 30.4 min · 2025–26: 28 (39 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR
Game lines
DEN −4.5 · total 230.5 (8 sportsbooks)
DEN's games this season closed at 236.2 on average (6 games)

50%5 of 10L10

Over 8.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

vs MEM, 2026-04-08: 8, missed, 22 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-18: 11, cleared, 29 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 11, cleared, 37 min
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 1, missed, 23 min
at OKC, 2026-10-22: 7, missed, 29 min
vs NO, 2026-10-24: 9, cleared, 37 min
vs GS, 2026-10-26: 6, missed, 25 min
at NO, 2026-10-28: 14, cleared, 31 min
at PHX, 2026-10-30: 9, cleared, 29 min
vs POR, 2026-11-02: 8, missed, 30 min

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 8.5 cleared in 1 of 5 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L10

Nikola JokicC
Jamal MurrayG
DeMar DeRozanG
Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Reb+Ast: 8 in 29 min, Mar 20 (home)

Over 8.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 8.5

Average: 8.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 8.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 49%; at +105
Books’ fair: 45%; margin removed
Minutes: 29.2; 10 games · 28 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−11001 book	—	9/10
−1551 book	pick'em only	7/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	5/10
+1052 books	−1441 book	5/10
+1651 book	—	3/10
+3801 book	—	1/10
+13001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
FanDuel2 min ago	+108Best	−144Best
DraftKings1 min ago	+105	—

Prices as of 12:44 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

+104 → +105 since first seen

Aaron Gordon's full game log and splits