Aaron Gordon

Denver Nuggets · F · #32

TOR @ DEN · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under22.5

Over 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1081 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 22.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 22.5 without him: 9 of 16; with him: 17 of 29 (45 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
TOR allow 59.4 points + rebounds + assists a game to forwards: 27th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30.4 min · 2025–26: 28 (39 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR

40%4 of 10L10

Over 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 at home).

vs MEM, 2026-04-08: 14, missed, 22 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-18: 28, cleared, 29 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 19, missed, 37 min
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 10, missed, 23 min
at OKC, 2026-10-22: 27, cleared, 29 min
vs NO, 2026-10-24: 16, missed, 37 min
vs GS, 2026-10-26: 13, missed, 25 min
at NO, 2026-10-28: 29, cleared, 31 min
at PHX, 2026-10-30: 24, cleared, 29 min
vs POR, 2026-11-02: 13, missed, 30 min

ClearedMissedThe 22.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 22.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 22.5 cleared in 2 of 5 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 22.5 · L10

Nikola JokicC
Jamal MurrayG
DeMar DeRozanG
Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Pts+Reb+Ast: 24 in 29 min, Mar 20 (home)

Over 22.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 22.5

Average: 19.3; −3.2 vs line
Median: 17.5; −5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −108
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Minutes: 29.2; 10 games · 28 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 22.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7101 book	—	6/10
−1991 book	—	4/10
−1261 book	−1051 book	4/10
−1081 book	−1221 book	4/10
+1471 book	—	3/10
+3841 book	—	0/10
+9501 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 22.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 22.5	Under 22.5
FanDuel7 min ago	−108Best	−122Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:53 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

22.5

−114 → −108 since first seen

Aaron Gordon's full game log and splits