Aaron Gordon

Denver Nuggets · F · #32

TOR @ DEN · Live

Over Under16.5

Over 16.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1073 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 16.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 at home).

vs MEM, 2026-04-08: 12, missed, 22 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-18: 20, cleared, 29 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 12, missed, 37 min
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 9, missed, 23 min
at OKC, 2026-10-22: 21, cleared, 29 min
vs NO, 2026-10-24: 11, missed, 37 min
vs GS, 2026-10-26: 9, missed, 25 min
at NO, 2026-10-28: 18, cleared, 31 min
at PHX, 2026-10-30: 20, cleared, 29 min
vs POR, 2026-11-02: 7, missed, 30 min

ClearedMissedThe 16.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
DeMar DeRozan: Out (back)
Over 16.5 without him: no games; with him: 3 of 6 (6 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 16.5 without him: 9 of 16; with him: 19 of 29 (45 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 30.4 min · 2025–26: 28 (39 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR

Splits

Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 16.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 16.5 · L10

Nikola JokicC
Jamal MurrayG
DeMar DeRozanGOut
Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Pts+Ast: 19 in 29 min, Mar 20 (home)

Over 16.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 16.5

Average: 13.9; −2.6 vs line
Median: 12; −4.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −107
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 29.2; 10 games · 28 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−12502 books	—	7/10
−1803 books	+1351 book	4/10
−1351 book	+1051 book	4/10
−1073 books	−1252 books	4/10
+1803 books	—	3/10
+5502 books	—	0/10
+14802 books	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 16.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 16.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 16.5	Under 16.5
Bovada3 hr ago	−105Best	−125
DraftKings3 hr ago	−107	−123Best
Bally Bet3 hr ago	−112	—

Prices as of 9:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

16.5

Over: −130 → −107 since first seen

Aaron Gordon's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:12 PM ET.