Aaron Gordon

Denver Nuggets · F · #32

TOR @ DEN · Tomorrow 9:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Assists, typical price −1321 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs forwards
TOR allow 5.9 assists a game to forwards: 29th most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 2.5 without him: 9 of 16; with him: 14 of 29 (45 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 30.4 min · 2025–26: 28 (39 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR

60%6 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Assists cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs MEM, 2026-04-08: 6, cleared, 22 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-18: 3, cleared, 29 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 4, cleared, 37 min
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 0, missed, 23 min
at OKC, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 29 min
vs NO, 2026-10-24: 4, cleared, 37 min
vs GS, 2026-10-26: 2, missed, 25 min
at NO, 2026-10-28: 3, cleared, 31 min
at PHX, 2026-10-30: 5, cleared, 29 min
vs POR, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 30 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 2 of 5 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Nikola JokicC
Jamal MurrayG
DeMar DeRozanG
Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Assists: 3 in 29 min, Mar 20 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3; +0.5 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −132
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Minutes: 29.2; 10 games · 28 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4301 book	—	8/10
−1321 book	+1001 book	6/10
+2001 book	—	4/10
+10001 book	—	1/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel3 min ago	−132Best	+100Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:38 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over −136 → −132 since first seen

Aaron Gordon's full game log and splits