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Henrik Meister

Derby County · F · #9

SOU v DER · Sat, Nov 21 7:30 AM
Over only0.5
Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price +1152 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

Historical hit rate

30%3 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

Games counted

Game log L10vs NORShots on Target0Miss
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineSA Serie A · unmarked: Championship
Game-by-game results 10 games · 2026-05-17 – 2026-11-03

Past results describe this sample; they are not a forecast.

DateOpponentShots on TargetWorkloadAt 0.5
2026-11-03vs NOR0—Miss
2026-10-31@ MIL0—Miss
2026-10-24@ SHU1—Hit
2026-10-17vs STK0—Miss
2026-10-14@ QPR1—Hit
2026-10-10vs WXM0—Miss
2026-09-12vs BIR0—Miss
2026-09-09vs WBA1—Hit
2026-09-05@ WHU0—Miss
2026-05-17vs NAP0—Miss

L10 · Over 0.5

Historical results

Average
0.3
−0.2 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Past hit rate
30%
3 of 10

Price and estimates

Break-even chance
47%
at +115
Market estimate
—
no Under posted
What do these numbers mean?
Past hit rate
How often this line cleared in the games you selected. It describes those games, not the chance of the next one.
Break-even chance
The chance needed to break even at the displayed price over time.
Market estimate
The sportsbooks' estimated chance with their margin removed. It needs prices on both sides.

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
LineOverL10
+1152 books3/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5
Bally Bet6 min ago+115Best
BetRivers6 min ago+115Best

Prices as of 12:57 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

Line movementMain line 0.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

Henrik Meister's full game log and splits