Southampton, this season at 90 minutes: 8W 4D 3L against Derby, this season at 90 minutes: 2W 4D 9L
Championship · Sat, Nov 21 7:30 AM ET
- Southampton
- −25569%
- Draw
- +40018%
- Derby
- +60013%
90 minutes · 5 sportsbooks · Total 3.5: Over +130 Under −177
The market makes Southampton 69% / draw 18% / Derby 13%. Research, not a pick.How
Every soccer market here settles at 90 minutes plus stoppage time: extra time and penalties never count. A chance is the books' fair chance: each sportsbook pricing every outcome has its margin taken out, and the chances are averaged (5 sportsbooks on the 3-way now). It is the market's number, never ours.
We make no pick on soccer until its grading has been checked on real results.
Lines
every market at 90 minutes: the typical price, the books' fair chance under itUpdatedResult (90 min)5 sportsbooks
Barely moved since our first read
| Southampton | Draw | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| −25569% | +40018% | +60013% |
Total goals5 sportsbooks
Barely moved since our first read
| Goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.52 sportsbooks | −65083% | +38017% |
| 2.51 sportsbook | −181no fair chance | +147no fair chance |
| 32 sportsbooks | −11551% | −10549% |
| 3.5most posted | +13040% | −17760% |
| 4.51 sportsbook | +317no fair chance | −441no fair chance |
Both teams to score3 sportsbooks
Barely moved since our first read
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| −13554% | +10446% |
Draw no bet2 sportsbooks
Barely moved since our first read
| Southampton | Derby |
|---|---|
| −77084% | +39016% |
Double chance4 sportsbooks
Barely moved since our first read
| Southampton or draw | Southampton or Derby | Draw or Derby |
|---|---|---|
| −120087% | −60082% | +18531% |
Asian handicap4 sportsbooks
| Handicap | Southampton | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| SOU −1.52 sportsbooks | −10546% | −14554% |
| SOU −1.25most posted | −11551% | −10549% |
| SOU −0.51 sportsbook | −256no fair chance | +202no fair chance |
A quarter line (2.25, −0.75) is half the stake on each line beside it: it can win or lose half.
Typical price: the middle price of the sportsbooks posting that line. The fair chance needs two or more sportsbooks pricing every outcome of the line.
Compare 5 sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Southampton | Draw | Derby | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −235 | +400 | +600 | 6 min ago |
| BetRivers | −265 | +360 | +550 | 6 min ago |
| Bovada | −260 | +390 | +600 | 6 min ago |
| DraftKings | −255 | +400 | +600 | 7 min ago |
| Pinnacle | −249 | +406 | +598 | 6 min ago |
| Sportsbook | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +130 | −177 | 6 min ago |
| DraftKings | +130 | −180 | 7 min ago |
| Pinnacle | +138 | −170 | 6 min ago |
| Sportsbook | Yes | No | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −135 | −105 | 6 min ago |
| BetRivers | −148 | +104 | 6 min ago |
| Bovada | −135 | +105 | 6 min ago |
| Sportsbook | Southampton | Derby | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | −770 | +390 | 6 min ago |
| Bovada | −700 | +460 | 6 min ago |
| Sportsbook | Southampton or draw | Southampton or Derby | Draw or Derby | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1000 | −600 | +185 | 6 min ago |
| BetRivers | −1250 | −625 | +188 | 6 min ago |
| Bovada | −1200 | −575 | +183 | 6 min ago |
| Pinnacle | −825 | −552 | +195 | 6 min ago |
| Sportsbook | Southampton −1.25 | Derby +1.25 | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | −125 | −110 | 6 min ago |
| Bovada | −115 | −105 | 6 min ago |
| Pinnacle | −115 | −102 | 6 min ago |
Each sportsbook's own price, as of 12:47 AM ET.
Side by side
this season (2026–27), every competition, at 90 minutesSOUWhatDER
Southampton, 2W 2D 1L:
Last 5 · oldest to newest- Drew 0–0 at home to Bolton Wanderers, Championship, Oct 17D
- Won 3–2 away to West Ham United, Championship, Oct 24W
- Won 4–1 at home to Queens Park Rangers, Championship, Oct 31W
- Drew 1–1 away to West Bromwich Albion, Championship, Nov 3D
- Lost 0–1 away to Preston North End, Championship, Nov 7L
Derby, 1W 1D 3L:
- Lost 0–1 at home to Stoke City, Championship, Oct 17L
- Drew 1–1 away to Sheffield United, Championship, Oct 24D
- Lost 1–4 away to Millwall, Championship, Oct 31L
- Lost 0–4 at home to Norwich City, Championship, Nov 3L
- Won 3–1 at home to Bolton Wanderers, Championship, Nov 6W
8–4–3, 15 gamesWon–drawn–lost2–4–9, 15 games
1.9, 15 gamesGoals scored a game0.9, 15 games
1.0, 15 gamesGoals allowed a game2.0, 15 games
15.5, 15 games; allowed 15.4Shots a game11.9, 15 games; allowed 15.9
5.0, 15 games; allowed 4.0Shots on target a game3.8, 15 games; allowed 6.1
57%, 15 gamesPossession47%, 15 games
5.6, 15 games; allowed 4.7Corners a game5.5, 15 games; allowed 5.4
8.3, 15 games; allowed 13.4Fouls a game12.5, 15 games; allowed 8.8
1.6, 15 games; allowed 2.7Yellow cards a game2.1, 15 games; allowed 1.6
ESPN's team stats, averaged over the games ESPN has them for (each number's sample under it); “allowed” is the opponents' average in the same games. The darker number is the bigger one (the smaller for goals allowed, fouls and cards): a fact, not a pick.
Player lines
159 posted · at 90 minutes · last 10 at each lineTo score47
- Cyle LarinSOU · FOver 0.5 goalsRecent hitsTypical pricePast games: 26% of 77−1211 sportsbook
- Divin MubamaSOU · FOver 0.5 goalsRecent hitsTypical pricePast games: 10% of 40+1001 sportsbook
- Léo ScienzaSOU · MOver 0.5 goalsRecent hitsTypical pricePast games: 16% of 86+1053 sportsbooks
- Lewis DobbinSOU · FOver 0.5 goalsRecent hitsTypical pricePast games: 16% of 79+1201 sportsbook
- Kuryu MatsukiSOU · MOver 0.5 goalsRecent hitsTypical pricePast games: 13% of 83+1352 sportsbooks
- Finn AzazSOU · MOver 0.5 goalsRecent hitsTypical pricePast games: 22% of 106+1453 sportsbooks
Shots on Target13
- Carlton MorrisDER · FOver 0.5 shots on targetRecent hitsTypical pricePast games: 52% of 83−1862 sportsbooks3 straight
- Léo ScienzaSOU · MOver 1.5 shots on targetRecent hitsTypical pricePast games: 20% of 84−1062 sportsbooks
- Henrik MeisterDER · FOver 0.5 shots on targetRecent hitsTypical pricePast games: 25% of 61+1152 sportsbooks
- Cameron BraggSOU · MOver 0.5 shots on targetRecent hitsTypical pricePast games: 6% of 32+1202 sportsbooks
- James Ward-ProwseSOU · MOver 0.5 shots on targetRecent hitsTypical pricePast games: 14% of 56+1302 sportsbooks
- Caspar JanderSOU · MOver 0.5 shots on targetRecent hitsTypical pricePast games: 15% of 74+1352 sportsbooks