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Carlton Morris

Derby County · F · #9

SOU v DER · Sat, Nov 21 7:30 AM
Over only0.5
Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price −1862 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

Historical hit rate

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

Games counted

Game log L10vs BOLShots on Target1Hit
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 line
Game-by-game results 10 games · 2026-08-22 – 2026-11-06

Past results describe this sample; they are not a forecast.

DateOpponentShots on TargetWorkloadAt 0.5
2026-11-06vs BOL1—Hit
2026-11-03vs NOR1—Hit
2026-10-31@ MIL1—Hit
2026-10-24@ SHU0—Miss
2026-10-17vs STK1—Hit
2026-10-14@ QPR0—Miss
2026-10-10vs WXM0—Miss
2026-09-19@ BUR0—Miss
2026-09-12vs BIR0—Miss
2026-08-22vs CAR1—Hit

L10 · Over 0.5

Historical results

Average
0.5
±0 vs line
Median
0.5
±0 vs line
Past hit rate
50%
5 of 10

Price and estimates

Break-even chance
65%
at −186
Market estimate
—
no Under posted
What do these numbers mean?
Past hit rate
How often this line cleared in the games you selected. It describes those games, not the chance of the next one.
Break-even chance
The chance needed to break even at the displayed price over time.
Market estimate
The sportsbooks' estimated chance with their margin removed. It needs prices on both sides.

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
LineOverL10
−1862 books5/10
+2302 books0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5
Bally Bet6 min ago−186Best
BetRivers6 min ago−186Best

Prices as of 12:57 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

Line movementMain line 0.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

Carlton Morris's full game log and splits