Justin Njinmah

Werder Bremen · F · #11

VFB v SVW · Tomorrow 12:30 PM

Over only3.5

Over 3.5 Shots, typical price +1052 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

10%1 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Shots cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

vs M05 (Bundesliga), 2026-03-15: 2, missed
at WOB (Bundesliga), 2026-03-21: 2, missed
vs RBL (Bundesliga), 2026-04-04: 3, missed
at KOE (Bundesliga), 2026-04-12: 1, missed
vs HSV (Bundesliga), 2026-04-18: 3, missed
at VFB (Bundesliga), 2026-04-26: 0, missed
vs FCA (Bundesliga), 2026-05-02: 3, missed
at TSG (Bundesliga), 2026-05-09: 6, cleared
vs DOR (Bundesliga), 2026-05-16: 1, missed
at SCF (Bundesliga), 2026-08-30: 1, missed

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 line

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 2.2; −1.3 vs line
Median: 2; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 10%; 1 of 10
Price implies: 49%; at +105
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−50002 books	9/10
	−6502 books	6/10
	−2202 books	4/10
	+1052 books	1/10
	+2402 books	1/10
	+5002 books	1/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“4+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 3.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5
DraftKings6 min ago	+300Best
FanDuel6 min ago	+105

Prices as of 4:47 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

2.5 → 3.5 since first seen

Justin Njinmah's full game log and splits