Justin Njinmah

Werder Bremen · F · #11

VFB v SVW · Sat, Nov 7 12:30 PM

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price −1125 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

vs M05 (Bundesliga), 2026-03-15: 0, missed
at WOB (Bundesliga), 2026-03-21: 1, cleared
vs RBL (Bundesliga), 2026-04-04: 0, missed
at KOE (Bundesliga), 2026-04-12: 0, missed
vs HSV (Bundesliga), 2026-04-18: 3, cleared
at VFB (Bundesliga), 2026-04-26: 0, missed
vs FCA (Bundesliga), 2026-05-02: 1, cleared
at TSG (Bundesliga), 2026-05-09: 1, cleared
vs DOR (Bundesliga), 2026-05-16: 0, missed
at SCF (Bundesliga), 2026-08-30: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 line

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −112
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−1125 books	4/10
	+4005 books	1/10
	+13002 books	1/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 5 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
Bally Bet9 min ago	−112Best
betPARX9 min ago	−112Best
BetRivers9 min ago	−112Best
DraftKings9 min ago	−150
FanDuel9 min ago	−170

Prices as of 12:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

Justin Njinmah's full game log and splits