Jorge Carrascal

Flamengo · M · #15

FLA v GRE · Today 5:30 PM

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Target, typical price +1605 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

20%2 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Target cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 at home).

at CRU (Brazil), 2026-08-22: 0, missed
vs BOT (Brazil), 2026-08-30: 1, missed
vs MIR (Brazil), 2026-09-02: 1, missed
at REMO (Brazil), 2026-09-06: 0, missed
vs COR (Brazil), 2026-09-13: 0, missed
vs BRA (Brazil), 2026-09-20: 3, cleared
at SAN (Brazil), 2026-10-08: 0, missed
vs FLU (Brazil), 2026-10-11: 1, missed
at BAH (Brazil), 2026-10-18: 4, cleared
vs CAM (Brazil), 2026-10-26: 1, missed

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 line

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 38%; at +160
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−2655 books	6/10
	+1605 books	2/10
	+5005 books	2/10
	+14002 books	1/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 5 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
FanDuel6 min ago	+170Best
Bally Bet6 min ago	+160
betPARX6 min ago	+160
BetRivers6 min ago	+160
DraftKings6 min ago	+135

Prices as of 4:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +180 → +160 since first seen

Jorge Carrascal's full game log and splits