Jorge Carrascal

Flamengo · M · #15

FLA v GRE · Today 5:30 PM

Over only3.5

Over 3.5 Shots, typical price +1405 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

20%2 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Shots cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 at home).

at CRU (Brazil), 2026-08-22: 3, missed
vs BOT (Brazil), 2026-08-30: 1, missed
vs MIR (Brazil), 2026-09-02: 1, missed
at REMO (Brazil), 2026-09-06: 2, missed
vs COR (Brazil), 2026-09-13: 0, missed
vs BRA (Brazil), 2026-09-20: 4, cleared
at SAN (Brazil), 2026-10-08: 0, missed
vs FLU (Brazil), 2026-10-11: 2, missed
at BAH (Brazil), 2026-10-18: 5, cleared
vs CAM (Brazil), 2026-10-26: 1, missed

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 line

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 1.9; −1.6 vs line
Median: 1.5; −2 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 42%; at +140
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−70001 book	8/10
	−5005 books	5/10
	−1655 books	3/10
	+1405 books	2/10
	+2102 books	1/10
	+4502 books	0/10
	+17001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“4+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 5 sportsbooks at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 3.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5
DraftKings8 min ago	+145Best
Bally Bet8 min ago	+140
betPARX8 min ago	+140
BetRivers8 min ago	+140
FanDuel8 min ago	−110

Prices as of 11:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: +145 → +140 since first seen

Jorge Carrascal's full game log and splits