Melvine Malard
CHE v MNC · Tomorrow 8:30 AM
Over only4.5
Over 4.5 Shots, typical price −1151 sportsbookUpdated
Game log against Over 4.5
Historical hit rate
30%3 of 10L10
Over 4.5 Shots cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).
Games counted
Game log L10vs EVEShots4Miss
Game-by-game results 10 games · 2026-04-26 – 2026-11-07
Past results describe this sample; they are not a forecast.
| Date | Opponent | Shots | Workload | At 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs EVE | 4 | — | Miss |
| 2026-11-01 | @ CHA | 3 | — | Miss |
| 2026-10-25 | @ CRY | 8 | — | Hit |
| 2026-10-18 | vs TOT | 3 | — | Miss |
| 2026-10-04 | @ WHU | 3 | — | Miss |
| 2026-09-27 | vs ARS | 5 | — | Hit |
| 2026-09-19 | vs BIR | 1 | — | Miss |
| 2026-05-16 | @ CHE | 2 | — | Miss |
| 2026-05-02 | vs BHA | 1 | — | Miss |
| 2026-04-26 | @ TOT | 5 | — | Hit |
L10 · Over 4.5
Historical results
- Average
- 3.5
- −1 vs line
- Median
- 3
- −1.5 vs line
- Past hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
Price and estimates
- Break-even chance
- 53%
- at −115
- Market estimate
- —
- no Under posted
What do these numbers mean?
- Past hit rate
- How often this line cleared in the games you selected. It describes those games, not the chance of the next one.
- Break-even chance
- The chance needed to break even at the displayed price over time.
- Market estimate
- The sportsbooks' estimated chance with their margin removed. It needs prices on both sides.
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | L10 |
|---|---|---|
| −25001 book | 8/10 | |
| −6001 book | 7/10 | |
| −2401 book | 4/10 | |
| −1151 book | 3/10 | |
| +1851 book | 1/10 |
Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“5+ shots”), with no Under to take.
Compare 1 sportsbook at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 |
|---|---|
| FanDuel4 min ago | −115Best |
Prices as of 11:21 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
Line movementMain line 4.5
Over: No move since first seen