Tim Lemperle

TSG Hoffenheim · F · #19

CRY v TSG · Today 12:45 PM

Over only2.5

Over 2.5 Shots, typical price −1353 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

at BMG (Bundesliga), 2026-05-16: 1, missed
vs DOR (Bundesliga), 2026-09-05: 4, cleared
vs VFB (Bundesliga), 2026-09-12: 3, cleared
at OFI (Europa League), 2026-09-17: 3, cleared
at SCP (Bundesliga), 2026-09-20: 1, missed
vs HSV (Bundesliga), 2026-10-10: 5, cleared
vs BES (Europa League), 2026-10-15: 0, missed
at BMG (Bundesliga), 2026-10-18: 0, missed
vs LYON (Europa League), 2026-10-22: 1, missed
at SVW (Bundesliga), 2026-10-31: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineBL Bundesliga · unmarked: Europa League

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 1.8; −0.7 vs line
Median: 1; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −135
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−25003 books	7/10
	−4003 books	4/10
	−1353 books	4/10
	+1853 books	2/10
	+4252 books	1/10
	+10003 books	0/10
	+25002 books	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“3+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 2.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5
FanDuel3 min ago	+115Best
DraftKings3 min ago	−135
Bovada1 min ago	−136

Prices as of 10:50 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: +160 → −135 since first seen

Tim Lemperle's full game log and splits