Noé Lebreton

NEC Nijmegen · M · #20

NEC v OMON · Live

Over only2.5

Over 2.5 Shots, typical price −1253 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

vs EXC (Eredivisie), 2026-09-08: 1, missed
at CAM (Eredivisie), 2026-09-12: 0, missed
at JUV (Europa League), 2026-09-17: 1, missed
vs GAE (Eredivisie), 2026-09-20: 0, missed
at AJA (Eredivisie), 2026-10-10: 1, missed
vs LEV (Europa League), 2026-10-15: 1, missed
vs FOR (Eredivisie), 2026-10-18: 3, cleared
at DZG (Europa League), 2026-10-22: 4, cleared
vs GRO (Eredivisie), 2026-10-25: 3, cleared
at HEE (Eredivisie), 2026-10-31: 5, cleared

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineERE Eredivisie · unmarked: Europa League

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 1.9; −0.6 vs line
Median: 1; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−3603 books	4/10
	−1253 books	4/10
	+1703 books	2/10
	+3503 books	1/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“3+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 2.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5
Bally Bet22 min ago	−125Best
betPARX22 min ago	−125Best
BetRivers22 min ago	−125Best

Prices as of 12:52 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: −106 → −125 since first seen

Noé Lebreton's full game log and splits