Jean-Philippe Mateta

Crystal Palace · F · #14

CRY v TSG · Today 12:45 PM

Over only4.5

Over 4.5 Shots, typical price +1056 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

0%0 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Shots cleared in 0 of his last 10 games (0 of 4 at home).

vs EVE (Premier League), 2026-05-10: 2, missed
at MNC (Premier League), 2026-05-13: 0, missed
at BRE (Premier League), 2026-05-17: 0, missed
vs ARS (Premier League), 2026-05-24: 1, missed
vs RAY (Conference League), 2026-05-27: 3, missed
at EVE (Premier League), 2026-08-22: 2, missed
at BHA (Premier League), 2026-10-18: 1, missed
at BES (Europa League), 2026-10-22: 2, missed
vs NEW (Premier League), 2026-10-25: 3, missed
at TOT (Premier League), 2026-10-31: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linePL Premier League · UECL Conference League · unmarked: Europa League

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 1.4; −3.1 vs line
Median: 1.5; −3 vs line
Hit rate: 0%; 0 of 10
Price implies: 49%; at +105
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−8503 books	5/10
	−4806 books	2/10
	−1956 books	0/10
	+1056 books	0/10
	+1806 books	0/10
	+3005 books	0/10
	+22002 books	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“5+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 6 sportsbooks at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 4.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5
Bovada3 min ago	+210Best
DraftKings4 min ago	+210Best
FanDuel4 min ago	+195
Bally Bet4 min ago	+105
betPARX4 min ago	+105
BetRivers4 min ago	+105

Prices as of 7:53 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

+115 → +105 since first seen

Jean-Philippe Mateta's full game log and splits