Joshua McPake

Heart of Midlothian · F · #15

THUN v HOM · Tomorrow 12:45 PM

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price −1674 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 on the road).

at HIBS (Scotland), 2026-09-03: 2, cleared
vs DUN (Scotland), 2026-09-06: 1, cleared
at FALK (Scotland), 2026-09-15: 0, missed
at KIL (Scotland), 2026-09-19: 0, missed
vs STM (Scotland), 2026-10-10: 1, cleared
vs FCN (Conference League), 2026-10-15: 2, cleared
at CEL (Scotland), 2026-10-18: 0, missed
at TRAB (Conference League), 2026-10-22: 0, missed
at MOT (Scotland), 2026-10-25: 1, cleared
vs RAN (Scotland), 2026-10-28: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineSPL Scotland · unmarked: Conference League

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 63%; at −167
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−1674 books	5/10
	+3201 book	2/10
	+13001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−165Best
Bally Bet4 min ago	−167
betPARX4 min ago	−167
BetRivers4 min ago	−167

Prices as of 5:56 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

Joshua McPake's full game log and splits