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Joshua McPake

Heart of Midlothian · F · #15

THUN v HOM · Today 12:45 PM
Over only2.5
Over 2.5 Shots, typical price −1201 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 2.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 on the road).

  1. at HIBS (Scotland), 2026-09-03: 2, missed
  2. vs DUN (Scotland), 2026-09-06: 5, cleared
  3. at FALK (Scotland), 2026-09-15: 2, missed
  4. at KIL (Scotland), 2026-09-19: 1, missed
  5. vs STM (Scotland), 2026-10-10: 6, cleared
  6. vs FCN (Conference League), 2026-10-15: 5, cleared
  7. at CEL (Scotland), 2026-10-18: 1, missed
  8. at TRAB (Conference League), 2026-10-22: 1, missed
  9. at MOT (Scotland), 2026-10-25: 3, cleared
  10. vs RAN (Scotland), 2026-10-28: 2, missed
ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineSPL Scotland · unmarked: Conference League

L10 · Over 2.5

Average
2.8
+0.3 vs line
Median
2
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
55%
at −120
Books’ fair
—
no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
LineOverL10
−20001 book10/10
−3401 book7/10
−1201 book4/10
+2201 book3/10
+5001 book3/10
+12001 book1/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“3+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 1 sportsbook at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over 2.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5
FanDuel13 min ago−120Best

Prices as of 4:34 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: −115 → −120 since first seen

Joshua McPake's full game log and splits