Jan Bednarek

FC Porto · D · #35

FCP v NAP · Today 3:00 PM

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Shots, typical price −1206 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Shots cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

at RAFC (Primeira Liga), 2026-08-15: 0, missed
vs FCA (Primeira Liga), 2026-08-23: 1, cleared
at ACV (Primeira Liga), 2026-08-29: 0, missed
vs MFC (Primeira Liga), 2026-09-04: 1, cleared
at CPAC (Primeira Liga), 2026-09-12: 1, cleared
vs SLB (Primeira Liga), 2026-09-20: 1, cleared
at MAR (Primeira Liga), 2026-10-10: 0, missed
vs PSV (Champions League), 2026-10-20: 0, missed
at GVFC (Primeira Liga), 2026-10-24: 2, cleared
vs EPF (Primeira Liga), 2026-10-31: 2, cleared

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linePOR Primeira Liga · unmarked: Champions League

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−1206 books	6/10
	+4503 books	2/10
	+20003 books	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 6 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
Bally Bet8 min ago	+105Best
betPARX8 min ago	+105Best
BetRivers8 min ago	+105Best
DraftKings8 min ago	−120
Bovada7 min ago	−121
FanDuel8 min ago	−130

Prices as of 10:32 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +105 → −120 since first seen

Jan Bednarek's full game log and splits