Are you 21 or older?

dane.bet is sports betting research for adults 21 and older. It is information only, not a sportsbook: we take no bets.

Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Erling Haaland

Manchester City · F · #9

RBL v MNC · Today 3:00 PM
OverUnder4.5
Over 4.5 Shots, typical price −1595 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 4.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Shots cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

  1. at CRY (Premier League), 2026-08-28: 5, cleared
  2. vs COV (Premier League), 2026-09-05: 4, missed
  3. at FCP (Champions League), 2026-09-08: 6, cleared
  4. at MAN (Premier League), 2026-09-13: 2, missed
  5. vs SUN (Premier League), 2026-09-20: 4, missed
  6. at LIV (Premier League), 2026-10-11: 2, missed
  7. vs PSG (Champions League), 2026-10-14: 8, cleared
  8. vs IPS (Premier League), 2026-10-17: 5, cleared
  9. at AVL (Premier League), 2026-10-24: 3, missed
  10. vs BHA (Premier League), 2026-10-31: 4, missed
ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linePL Premier League · unmarked: Champions League

L10 · Over 4.5

Average
4.3
−0.2 vs line
Median
4
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
61%
at −159
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−20002 books—10/10
−16675 books—8/10
−3355 books—7/10
−1595 bookspick'em only4/10
+1155 books—2/10
+1904 books—1/10
+3104 books—1/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 4.5Under 4.5
FanDuel9 min ago+120Best—
Bovada8 min ago+110—
BetRivers9 min ago−159—
Bally Bet9 min ago−167—
betPARX9 min ago−167—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 9:37 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

5.5 → 4.5 since first seen

Erling Haaland's full game log and splits