Santiago Castro

AS Roma · F · #9

ROMA v SAS · Tomorrow 2:45 PM

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Target, typical price −1173 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

0%0 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Target cleared in 0 of his last 10 games (0 of 5 at home).

vs FIO (Serie A), 2026-08-24: 0, missed
at LEC (Serie A), 2026-08-31: 0, missed
vs ATA (Serie A), 2026-09-05: 0, missed
at TOR (Serie A), 2026-09-14: 0, missed
vs GEN (Serie A), 2026-10-17: 1, missed
vs SLB (Champions League), 2026-10-20: 0, missed
at NAP (Serie A), 2026-10-24: 0, missed
vs CAG (Serie A), 2026-10-27: 1, missed
at UDI (Serie A), 2026-10-31: 0, missed
at MAN (Champions League), 2026-11-03: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 lineUCL Champions League · unmarked: Serie A

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 0.2; −1.3 vs line
Median: 0; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 0%; 0 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −117
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−5403 books	2/10
	−1173 books	0/10
	+2703 books	0/10
	+8003 books	0/10
	+22002 books	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
DraftKings10 min ago	−115Best
Bovada9 min ago	−117
FanDuel10 min ago	−140

Prices as of 1:14 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +155 → −117 since first seen

Santiago Castro's full game log and splits