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Nicola Zalewski

Atalanta · M · #59

MON v ATA · Sun, Nov 8 9:00 AM
Over only2.5
Over 2.5 Shots, typical price +1501 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 2.5

10%1 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

  1. vs SAS (Serie A), 2026-08-23: 1, missed
  2. vs BOL (Serie A), 2026-08-31: 2, missed
  3. at ROMA (Serie A), 2026-09-05: 0, missed
  4. vs VEN (Serie A), 2026-10-12: 1, missed
  5. vs PAF (Conference League), 2026-10-15: 1, missed
  6. at MIL (Serie A), 2026-10-18: 0, missed
  7. at AJA (Conference League), 2026-10-22: 3, cleared
  8. vs FRO (Serie A), 2026-10-25: 1, missed
  9. at FIO (Serie A), 2026-10-29: 1, missed
  10. vs PAR (Serie A), 2026-11-02: 1, missed
ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineUECL Conference League · unmarked: Serie A

L10 · Over 2.5

Average
1.1
−1.4 vs line
Median
1
−1.5 vs line
Hit rate
10%
1 of 10
Price implies
40%
at +150
Books’ fair
—
no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
LineOverL10
−9001 book8/10
−1851 book2/10
+1501 book1/10
+4001 book0/10
+10001 book0/10
+28001 book0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“3+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 1 sportsbook at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over 2.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5
DraftKings7 min ago+150Best

Prices as of 5:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: No move since first seen

Nicola Zalewski's full game log and splits