Matteo Cancellieri

Lazio · F · #22

NAP v LAZ · Sun, Nov 8 6:30 AM

Over 1.5 Shots, typical price −3202 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

vs UDI (Serie A), 2026-04-27: 1, missed
vs INT (Serie A), 2026-05-09: 0, missed
at ROMA (Serie A), 2026-05-17: 3, cleared
vs PIS (Serie A), 2026-05-23: 1, missed
at BOL (Serie A), 2026-08-24: 2, cleared
vs GEN (Serie A), 2026-08-30: 1, missed
at UDI (Serie A), 2026-09-07: 2, cleared
vs MIL (Serie A), 2026-09-12: 1, missed
at VEN (Serie A), 2026-09-19: 1, missed
at SAS (Serie A), 2026-10-27: 2, cleared

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 line

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 76%; at −320
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−20002 books	—	9/10
	−3202 books	pick'em only	4/10
	−1102 books	—	1/10
	+2302 books	—	0/10
	+5502 books	—	0/10
	+13002 books	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings7 min ago	−290Best	—
FanDuel7 min ago	−320	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

2.5 → 1.5 since first seen

Matteo Cancellieri's full game log and splits