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Zach Benson

Buffalo Sabres · LW · #6

OTT @ BUF · Tomorrow 7:30 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +2506 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Teammate out

    Konsta Helenius: Out (upper body)

    Over 0.5 without him: 10 of 36; with him: 4 of 22 (58 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Conor Timmins: Injured Reserve (lower body)

    Over 0.5 without him: 9 of 53; with him: 10 of 39 (92 games as teammates)

  • Opposing goalie

    Samuel Ersson (Expected)

    Saves: 177 of 204 (.868) over his last 10 games · 4 of OTT's last 10 starts

  • Defense vs forwards

    OTT allow 2.88 goals a game to forwards: 9th most of 32

    16 games · last 10 games: 3.50, 4th most

Game log against Over 0.5

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (0 of 3 at home).

  1. vs UTAH, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 19.9 min
  2. vs FLA, 2026-10-12: 0, missed, 19.7 min
  3. at MTL, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 19.6 min
  4. at TOR, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 21.3 min
  5. at MTL, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 21.3 min
  6. vs PHI, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 21.4 min
  7. at WSH, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 18.5 min
  8. at SJ, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 17.9 min
  9. at ANA, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 19.5 min
  10. at LA, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 23.3 min
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against OTT in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 8 against OTT on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

  • Tage ThompsonC

  • Rasmus DahlinD

  • Jack QuinnRW

  • Konsta HeleniusCOut

  • Conor TimminsDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Sabres count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OTT

Goals: 0 in 17.6 min, Apr 2 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 8 games against OTT on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.2
−0.3 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
20%
2 of 10
Price implies
29%
at +250
Books’ fair
27%
margin removed
Time on ice
20.2
10 games · 16.1 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 27%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+2506 books−3801 book2/10
+18556 books—0/10
+140005 books—0/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
DraftKings8 min ago+270Best—
Bally Bet4 min ago+250—
betPARX4 min ago+250—
BetRivers4 min ago+250—
Bovada4 min ago+250—
FanDuel4 min ago+250−380Best

Prices as of 11:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +260 → +250 since first seen

Zach Benson's full game log and splits