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William Nylander

Toronto Maple Leafs · RW · #88

UTAH @ TOR · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +1653 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

56%5 of 9L20 · Without Tavares

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 5 of 9 games without John Tavares (his last 20 games).

  1. at NYI, 2026-04-09: 0, missed, 21.9 min (not counted)
  2. vs FLA, 2026-04-11: 2, cleared, 19.8 min (not counted)
  3. vs DAL, 2026-04-13: 1, cleared, 22.8 min (not counted)
  4. at OTT, 2026-04-15: 1, cleared, 20.5 min (not counted)
  5. vs MTL, 2026-09-29: 2, cleared, 18.9 min (not counted)
  6. vs NYI, 2026-09-30: 0, missed, 17.5 min (not counted)
  7. vs OTT, 2026-10-03: 0, missed, 21.4 min (not counted)
  8. vs NSH, 2026-10-06: 1, cleared, 22.8 min (not counted)
  9. at VGK, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 20.5 min (not counted)
  10. at COL, 2026-10-10: 2, cleared, 19.9 min
  11. at UTAH, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 21.8 min (not counted)
  12. vs BUF, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 22.3 min (not counted)
  13. vs NYI, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 20.6 min
  14. vs SJ, 2026-10-19: 0, missed, 20.8 min
  15. at CBJ, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 17.9 min
  16. vs NYR, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 20.2 min
  17. at EDM, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 16 min
  18. at CGY, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 19.2 min
  19. at SEA, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 22.2 min
  20. at VAN, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 19.7 min
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different on Tuesday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TueTeammate out

    John Tavares: Out (lower body)

    Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 9; with him: 30 of 79 (88 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Kirill Marchenko: Injured Reserve (lower body)

    Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 6 of 14 (16 games as teammates). A small sample.

  • Teammate out

    Max Domi: Injured Reserve (back)

    Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 17; with him: 28 of 71 (88 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Marshall Rifai: Injured Reserve (lower body)

    Over 0.5 without him: 18 of 41; with him: 1 of 3 (44 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

  • Auston MatthewsC

  • John TavaresCOut

  • Kirill MarchenkoRWInjured Reserve

  • Max DomiCInjured Reserve

  • Marshall RifaiDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out on Tuesday. Only games they were teammates on the Maple Leafs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Goals: 0 in 21.8 min, Oct 13 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against UTAH on record

L20 · Without Tavares · Over 0.5

Average
0.8
+0.3 vs line
Median
1
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
56%
5 of 9
Price implies
38%
at +165
Books’ fair
35%
margin removed
Time on ice
19.6
9 games · 19.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 35%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Tavares
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
+1653 books−2401 book5/9
+9982 books—2/9
+54832 books—0/9
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Bally Bet33 hr ago+170Best—
Pinnacle33 hr ago+165−240Best
DraftKings33 hr ago+160—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +160 → +165 since first seen

William Nylander's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.