William Carrier

Carolina Hurricanes · LW · #28

CAR @ NSH · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −2305 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Taylor Hall: Out (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 7 of 9; with him: 81 of 106 (115 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)
Under 0.5 without him: 12 of 17; with him: 76 of 98 (115 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Confirmed)
Saves: 278 of 308 (.903) over his last 10 games · 7 of NSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NSH allow 6.29 points a game to forwards: 19th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 6.40, 17th most

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).

at PHI, 2026-10-11: 2, missed, 12.2 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 13.6 min
at WPG, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 14.8 min
at CGY, 2026-10-18: 0, hit, 14.4 min
at VAN, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 13.1 min
at EDM, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 17.5 min
at STL, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 13.4 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 14 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 13.4 min
vs WPG, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 13 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 points.

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NSH in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 3 against NSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Sebastian AhoC
Jackson BlakeRW
Nikolaj EhlersLW
Taylor HallLWOut
Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NSH

Points: 0 in 12.7 min, Dec 17, 2025 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against NSH on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 70%; at −230
Books’ fair: 65%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −167

Research, not a pick. At −230 the price is worse than our fair −167, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1505 books	−2301 book	6/10
	+7505 books	—	9/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings9 min ago	+165Best	−230Best
Bally Bet7 min ago	+150	—
betPARX6 min ago	+150	—
BetRivers5 min ago	+150	—
Bovada7 min ago	+150	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:43 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

William Carrier's full game log and splits