William Carrier
CAR @ NSH · Today 8:00 PMWhat's different tonight
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)
Under 0.5 without him: 12 of 17; with him: 83 of 98 (115 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Expected)
Saves: 278 of 308 (.903) over his last 10 games · 7 of NSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NSH allow 3.64 assists a game to forwards: 18th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 3.70, 15th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 14.3 min · 2026–27: 13.1 (16 games)
Power play: 0 min last 5 · 0 2026–27
Game log against Under 0.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 assists.
Count only
Under 0.5 · L10With or without
Under 0.5 · L10Sebastian AhoC
Jackson BlakeRW
Nikolaj EhlersLW
Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NSH
Assists: 0 in 12.7 min, Dec 17, 2025 (away)
Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against NSH on record
L10 · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 78%
- at −360
- Books’ fair
- 74%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 68%
- estimate · fair −213
Research, not a pick. At −360 the price is worse than our fair −213, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +2404 books | −3601 book | 6/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings2 min ago | +255Best | −360Best |
| Bally Bet2 min ago | +240 | — |
| betPARX1 min ago | +240 | — |
| BetRivers1 min ago | +240 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:53 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.


