Tyler Toffoli
CGY @ SJ · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Under 2.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 shots on goal.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 2.5
- Average
- 1.7
- −0.8 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −180
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 64%
- estimate · fair −175
Research, not a pick. At −153 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −175, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −17253 books | — | 2/10 | |
| −2953 books | — | 6/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 6/10 | |
| +1287 books | −1805 books | 7/10 | |
| +2703 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +6303 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +17001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle24 hr ago | +115 | −153Best |
| Bovada24 hr ago | +135Best | −175 |
| Bally Bet24 hr ago | +128 | −180 |
| betPARX24 hr ago | +128 | −180 |
| DraftKings24 hr ago | +135Best | −180 |
| BetRivers24 hr ago | +128 | — |
| FanDuel24 hr ago | +108 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.