Tyler Toffoli

San Jose Sharks · C · #73

SJ @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −1755 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

67%6 of 9L20 · Without Wennberg

Under 0.5 Points hit in 6 of 9 games without Alexander Wennberg (his last 20 games).

at NSH, 2026-04-13: 0, hit, 11.9 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-04-15: 0, hit, 14.1 min (not counted)
vs FLA, 2026-10-01: 0, hit, 9.4 min (not counted)
vs LA, 2026-10-03: 2, missed, 14.5 min (not counted)
at DAL, 2026-10-05: 0, hit, 14.1 min (not counted)
at STL, 2026-10-08: 2, missed, 15.9 min (not counted)
vs EDM, 2026-10-10: 0, hit, 11.4 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 12.7 min (not counted)
at NSH, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 13.5 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 12.1 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 13.6 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 12.3 min
at OTT, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 11.1 min
at BOS, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 13.9 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 12.8 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 12.5 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 14.9 min
vs CGY, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 17 min
at LA, 2026-11-04: 0, hit, 15.7 min
at MIN, 2026-11-06: 0, hit, 12.9 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 points.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Alexander Wennberg: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 6 of 10; with him: 48 of 87 (97 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs forwards
DAL allow 4.44 points a game to forwards: 31st most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 5.10, 27th most
TodayRest · back-to-back
Sharks played the day before (at MIN): a back-to-back
3rd straight road game
Teammate out
Igor Chernyshov: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 15 of 27; with him: 21 of 37 (64 games as teammates)

Splits

Under 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L20

Macklin CelebriniC
Alexander WennbergCInjured Reserve
Will SmithC
Igor ChernyshovLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sharks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DAL

Points: 0 in 14.1 min, Oct 5 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 8 games against DAL on record

L20 · Without Wennberg · Under 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 67%; 6 of 9
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −161

Research, not a pick. At −175 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −161, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Wennberg

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L20
	+1335 books	−1752 books	6/9
	+6504 books	—	9/9

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings3 min ago	+130	−175Best
Pinnacle3 min ago	+130	−175Best
Bally Bet3 min ago	+133Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	+133Best	—
BetRivers3 min ago	+133Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under: No move since first seen

Tyler Toffoli's full game log and splits