Tomas Hertl

Vegas Golden Knights · C · #48

VGK @ PIT · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −1277 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightRest · back-to-back
Golden Knights played last night (at BOS): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Parker Wotherspoon: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 6 of 10; with him: 4 of 6 (16 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Arturs Silovs (Confirmed)
Saves: 247 of 275 (.898) over his last 10 games · 6 of PIT's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
PIT allow 7.14 points a game to forwards: 8th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 7.60, 5th most

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

at MIN, 2026-10-12: 1, missed, 18.9 min
at NSH, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 14.5 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 16.9 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 15.4 min
vs TB, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 17.2 min
at STL, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 14.3 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 12.9 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 12.9 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 15.7 min
at BOS, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 13.8 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Mitch MarnerRW
Victor OlofssonLW
Jack EichelC
Parker WotherspoonDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Golden Knights count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PIT

Points: 0 in 15.4 min, Oct 17 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against PIT on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −127
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −128

Research, not a pick. At −125 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −128, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1127 books	−1272 books	6/10
+4306 books	—	10/10
+15001 book	—	10/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings11 min ago	−105Best	−125Best
Pinnacle7 min ago	−105Best	−130
Bally Bet7 min ago	−112	—
betPARX4 min ago	−112	—
BetRivers4 min ago	−112	—
Bovada7 min ago	−115	—
FanDuel4 min ago	−115	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:47 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Tomas Hertl's full game log and splits