Thomas Chabot

Ottawa Senators · D · #72

OTT @ BUF · Tomorrow 7:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +6016 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightOpposing goalie
Colten Ellis (Expected)
Saves: 232 of 258 (.899) over his last 10 games · 3 of BUF's last 10 starts · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen started 7
TonightDefense vs defensemen
BUF allow 0.21 goals a game to defensemen: 30th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 0.30, 22nd most
Teammate out
William Eklund: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 0 of 8; with him: 1 of 4 (12 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Warren Foegele: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 0 of 3; with him: 2 of 24 (27 games as teammates)

0%0 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 0 of his last 10 games (0 of 6 on the road).

at DET, 2026-10-06: 0, missed, 26.3 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 29.3 min
vs NSH, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 28.7 min
at NJ, 2026-10-12: 0, missed, 27.9 min
vs STL, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 27.8 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 24.6 min
at PHI, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 12.1 min
at LA, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 22.6 min
at SJ, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 19 min
at ANA, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 19.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 8 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Tim StutzleC
Drake BathersonRW
Jake SandersonD
William EklundLWInjured Reserve
Warren FoegeleLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Senators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BUF

Chabot didn't play the Apr 2 meeting; goals the last time Chabot faced them: 0 (Dec 23, 2025)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 8 games against BUF on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0; −0.5 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 0%; 0 of 10
Price implies: 14%; at +601
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Time on ice: 23.8; 10 games · 23.1 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+6016 books	—	0/10
	+55005 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings8 min ago	+850Best	—
FanDuel2 min ago	+800	—
Bovada3 min ago	+725	—
Bally Bet3 min ago	+510	—
betPARX2 min ago	+510	—
BetRivers3 min ago	+510	—

Prices as of 11:34 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

+800 → +601 since first seen

Thomas Chabot's full game log and splits