Thomas Chabot

Ottawa Senators · D · #72

UTAH @ OTT · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −2367 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

vs PHI, 2026-10-08: 0, hit, 29.3 min
vs NSH, 2026-10-10: 1, missed, 28.7 min
at NJ, 2026-10-12: 1, missed, 27.9 min
vs STL, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 27.8 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 24.6 min
at PHI, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 12.1 min
at LA, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 22.6 min
at SJ, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 19 min
at ANA, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 19.5 min
at BUF, 2026-11-04: 1, missed, 24.3 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
William Eklund: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Under 0.5 without him: 4 of 9; with him: 3 of 4 (13 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ridly Greig: Out (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 2 of 4; with him: 46 of 70 (74 games as teammates)
Back from an absence
Today's game is his 5th back after missing 4 games in a row (Oct 21 – Oct 27)
Under 0.5 since: 1 of 4
Opposing goalie
Karel Vejmelka (Expected)
Saves: 209 of 242 (.864) over his last 10 games · 6 of UTAH's last 10 starts

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against UTAH in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Tim StutzleC
Drake BathersonRW
Philip TomasinoRW
William EklundLWInjured Reserve
Ridly GreigCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Senators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Assists: 0 in 22.3 min, Jan 7 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 70%; at −236
Books’ fair: 64%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −155

Research, not a pick. At −205 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −155, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1607 books	−2362 books	5/10
	+10602 books	—	10/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings6 min ago	+150	−205Best
Pinnacle6 min ago	+172	−236
Bally Bet6 min ago	+160	—
betPARX2 min ago	+160	—
BetRivers2 min ago	+160	—
Bovada5 min ago	+180	—
FanDuel3 min ago	+186Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Thomas Chabot's full game log and splits