Tage Thompson

Buffalo Sabres · C · #72

OTT @ BUF · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Points, typical price +2001 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Konsta Helenius: Out (upper body)
Over 1.5 without him: 10 of 37; with him: 6 of 24 (61 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Conor Timmins: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 1.5 without him: 14 of 57; with him: 16 of 51 (108 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Samuel Ersson (Expected)
Saves: 177 of 204 (.868) over his last 10 games · 4 of OTT's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
OTT allow 6.38 points a game to forwards: 16th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 7.60, 7th most

30%3 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Points cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 at home).

vs UTAH, 2026-10-10: 1, missed, 19.9 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-12: 2, cleared, 18 min
at MTL, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 22.4 min
at TOR, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 21.2 min
at MTL, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 19.3 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 20.1 min
at WSH, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 17 min
at SJ, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 17.2 min
at ANA, 2026-10-29: 5, cleared, 17.8 min
at LA, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 20.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against OTT in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 2 of 8 against OTT on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Rasmus DahlinD
Zach BensonLW
Jack QuinnRW
Konsta HeleniusCOut
Conor TimminsDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sabres count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs OTT

Points: 0 in 17.2 min, Apr 2 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 8 games against OTT on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 33%; at +200
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Time on ice: 19.3; 10 games · 19.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2651 book	pick'em only	7/10
+2001 book	pick'em only	3/10
+6801 book	—	1/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel4 min ago	+200Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

No move since first seen

Tage Thompson's full game log and splits