Tage Thompson
OTT @ BUF · Today 7:30 PMWhat's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Konsta Helenius: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 15 of 37; with him: 10 of 24 (61 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Conor Timmins: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 24 of 57; with him: 22 of 51 (108 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Samuel Ersson (Expected)
Saves: 177 of 204 (.868) over his last 10 games · 4 of OTT's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
OTT allow 2.88 goals a game to forwards: 8th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 3.50, 5th most
Game log against Over 0.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against OTT in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 8 against OTT on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Rasmus DahlinD
Zach BensonLW
Jack QuinnRW
Konsta HeleniusCOut
Conor TimminsDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sabres count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs OTT
Goals: 0 in 17.2 min, Apr 2 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against OTT on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 43%
- at +135
- Books’ fair
- 40%
- margin removed
- Time on ice
- 19.3
- 10 games · 19.3 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 40%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1355 books | −1801 book | 5/10 | |
| +6505 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +33005 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet5 min ago | +135Best | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | +135Best | — |
| BetRivers6 min ago | +135Best | — |
| DraftKings5 min ago | +130 | — |
| FanDuel5 min ago | +130 | −180Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:44 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over No move since first seen


